Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.010601 0.012763 0.015443 0.019078 0.023993 3.058382e-02 0.040419
2025-03-16 0.008039 0.010548 0.014075 0.019637 0.028703 4.401107e-02 0.074920
2025-03-23 0.006589 0.009113 0.012954 0.019662 0.032195 5.769034e-02 0.126022
2025-03-30 0.005489 0.007858 0.011661 0.018790 0.033527 6.834457e-02 0.189371
2025-04-06 0.004774 0.007030 0.010817 0.018363 0.035450 8.211428e-02 0.298432
2025-04-13 0.004358 0.006598 0.010529 0.018873 0.039722 1.071091e-01 0.570955
2025-04-20 0.004117 0.006414 0.010632 0.020210 0.046942 1.532430e-01 1.512314
2025-04-27 0.003862 0.006156 0.010534 0.021065 0.053525 2.120344e-01 5.040226
2025-05-04 0.003566 0.005781 0.010127 0.021045 0.057425 2.694204e-01 21.260366
2025-05-11 0.003312 0.005450 0.009752 0.020994 0.061334 3.435176e-01 373.816661
2025-05-18 0.003055 0.005083 0.009237 0.020425 0.062937 4.096034e-01 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002816 0.004724 0.008691 0.019628 0.063159 4.685412e-01 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002603 0.004421 0.008278 0.019283 0.066243 6.091319e-01 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002465 0.004253 0.008157 0.019829 0.074844 9.798945e-01 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002314 0.004043 0.007896 0.019854 0.080990 1.492721e+00 NaN
2025-06-22 0.002136 0.003756 0.007409 0.018970 0.080816 1.849270e+00 NaN
2025-06-29 0.002000 0.003545 0.007077 0.018537 0.083490 2.608577e+00 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001920 0.003446 0.007013 0.019054 0.094175 5.554068e+00 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001879 0.003428 0.007152 0.020409 0.115063 2.585178e+01 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001821 0.003365 0.007162 0.021276 0.134550 3.207656e+02 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001738 0.003236 0.006976 0.021255 0.145077 1.354810e+06 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001661 0.003116 0.006794 0.021204 0.155950 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.001576 0.002967 0.006514 0.020627 0.158866 NaN NaN